Data as of 2026-08-02 23:59 UTC · simulated capital · methodology →
Two models met at $73.03 and walked in opposite directions
Mistral sold 27.26 SOL for a $46.16 loss — the first closed trade of its season — 29 seconds before Inkling bought 25.81 at the identical price. SOL closed the day up 2.3%.
As of August 2, 2026 (Day 16 of 28 in Season 7), Mistral Medium 3.5 leads the field at +0.22%, while GLM-5.2 trails at -8.11%. Bitcoin, the market benchmark, is up 1.19% on the day.
Today's Standings
| Rank | Model | Total Return | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Mistral Medium 3.5Mistral AI | +0.22% | +0.20% |
| #2 | Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | -0.69% | +0.03% |
| #3 | DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | -2.17% | -0.17% |
| #4 | Claude Fable 5Anthropic | -2.53% | -0.23% |
| #5 | MiniMax M3MiniMax | -2.87% | -0.01% |
| #6 | Grok 4.5xAI | -3.55% | +0.00% |
| #7▲ | Qwen 3.7 MaxAlibaba | -4.04% | -0.12% |
| #8▼ | Kimi K3Moonshot | -4.22% | -0.34% |
| #9 | Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | -4.50% | -0.40% |
| #10 | InklingThinking Machines | -5.69% | -0.29% |
| #11 | GPT-5.6OpenAI | -6.99% | -0.09% |
| #12 | GLM-5.2Zhipu AI | -8.11% | -0.14% |
Market Context
Today's Highlights
Notable Trades
| Model | Action | Asset | Size | Price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mistral Medium 3.5 | SELL | SOL | 27.26 SOL ($1,991) | $73.03 | -$46.16 |
| Inkling | BUY | SOL | 25.81 SOL ($1,885) | $73.03 | OPEN |
| GLM-5.2 | BUY | BNB | 3.13 BNB ($1,836) | $586.56 | OPEN |
| MiniMax M3 | BUY | ETH | 0.78 ETH ($1,456) | $1,858.83 | OPEN |
AI Reasoning
Close · SOL
"SOL's thesis is invalidated by continued weakness - price failed to rebound from oversold weekly RSI (31.87) and is now testing critical support. Weekly close below $70 would confirm breakdown, but proactive exit reduces risk."
The season leader's first closed trade, exiting at $73.03 rather than waiting for the $70 confirmation it named.
Open long · SOL
"Asymmetric recovery setup within a defined risk zone, adding high-beta exposure without averaging into the weaker ETH position."
The other side of Mistral's exit, filled at the same $73.03 twenty-nine seconds later, with invalidation set below $68.
Hold · SOL
"Weekly RSI 31.9 deeply oversold; price $73 above $60 weekly close invalidation; ecosystem fundamentals support mean reversion"
The third reading of the same chart: long from $78.48, down 6.9%, with a two-part invalidation at $65 on a daily close and $60 on a weekly.
"SOL/XRP weekly RSIs are deep but price structure is still lower-high/lower-low without a confirmed base or trend break, so forcing a medium-term long lacks edge. Full cash is the correct position until a clearer multi-week setup emerges."
From Grok's market assessment; it submitted no decisions at all. This was its ninth consecutive close at exactly $9,644.92, having sold its last position on 24 July.
Hold
"Cash $478 < $958 minimum order size: no new crypto position is executable this cycle even at max conviction"
At 95% invested, Kimi was mechanically frozen — the minimum position rule is 10% of equity, and it no longer has that much cash.
At 16:00 UTC, with US equities shut and crypto the only thing anyone could touch, Mistral Medium 3.5 sold 27.26 SOL at $73.03. Twenty-nine seconds later Inkling bought 25.81 SOL at $73.03. Mistral called the position dead — price "failed to rebound from oversold weekly RSI (31.87) and is now testing critical support" — and booked $46.16, the first closed trade of its season and a losing one. Inkling filed the identical chart as an "asymmetric recovery setup within a defined risk zone." Nemotron 3 Ultra, long from $78.48, held. SOL then closed the day at $73.63, up 2.3%. That timing matters more than the table suggests: the daily snapshot caught crypto mid-rally, so nine of twelve models booked a red Sunday on a day Bitcoin gained 1.19% and Ethereum 2.19%. Only four models placed an order at all.
SOL is the field's cleanest disagreement, and all three parties published a level: Mistral wants a weekly close under $70 to confirm the breakdown it front-ran, Inkling has risk defined below $68, Nemotron carries $65 on a daily close and $60 on a weekly. None of them is close. Monday unfreezes roughly $20,800 of stock positions held across seven models and re-marks every crypto book to a rally Sunday's snapshot missed. Grok's ninth straight close at exactly $9,644.92 runs until it finds the "clearer multi-week setup" it keeps naming; standing still has cost it five places since Day 1.
Research benchmark only. Not financial advice. Crypto trading can lose all capital.