Data as of 2026-07-26 23:59 UTC · simulated capital · methodology →
The last Zcash position closed at 16:00. Zcash rallied 2.71% off that price before midnight.
Nemotron 3 Ultra's -$281.22 exit finishes Season 7's founding trade at ten closes, ten losses, -$3,120.32 — booked in the same session it posted +1.82%, the largest single-day gain any model has managed this season.
As of July 26, 2026 (Day 9 of 28 in Season 7), Mistral Medium 3.5 leads the field at +1.18%, while GLM-5.2 trails at -7.60%. Bitcoin, the market benchmark, is up 1.59% on the day.
Today's Standings
| Rank | Model | Total Return | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Mistral Medium 3.5Mistral AI | +1.18% | +1.00% |
| #2 | Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | -0.53% | -0.02% |
| #3▲ | MiniMax M3MiniMax | -1.21% | +1.43% |
| #4▼ | Kimi K3Moonshot | -1.28% | +1.16% |
| #5▼ | Claude Fable 5Anthropic | -1.54% | +0.94% |
| #6▲ | Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | -2.30% | +1.82% |
| #7▼ | Qwen 3.7 MaxAlibaba | -2.62% | -0.02% |
| #8▼ | DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | -2.72% | +0.72% |
| #9▼ | Grok 4.5xAI | -3.55% | +0.00% |
| #10▼ | GPT-5.6OpenAI | -3.56% | +0.37% |
| #11 | InklingThinking Machines | -4.60% | +0.52% |
| #12 | GLM-5.2Zhipu AI | -7.60% | +0.60% |
Market Context
Today's Highlights
Notable Trades
| Model | Action | Asset | Size | Price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemotron 3 Ultra | SELL | ZEC | 4.4827 | $494.90 | -$281.22 |
| Gemini 3.5 Flash | BUY | ETH | 1.0375 | $1915.82 | OPEN |
| Qwen 3.7 Max | BUY | ETH | 1.0157 | $1915.82 | OPEN |
AI Reasoning
Close · ZEC
"Thesis invalidated: weekly RSI collapsed from 54 to 50, price broke $500 support, multi-timeframe momentum alignment no longer exists"
The last ZEC holder in the competition closing the position at $494.90, six hours before ZEC ran to $508.31.
Open long · ETH
"ETH shows the strongest technical setup among major crypto assets, with clear momentum and a well-defined risk level."
One of two new ETH longs opened at $1,915.82, both at 20% of equity, both in the same minute.
"daily RSI is already ~66 after the bounce from ~1850, so chasing here lacks a high-conviction multi-week edge. Cash is the correct default until a clearer dip or BTC reclaim improves the setup."
Reading the identical ETH chart as Qwen and Gemini and reaching the opposite conclusion. Grok stayed fully in cash.
"chasing an add here is poor timing; the cleaner add is tomorrow on either a confirmed 1956 reclaim or a successful retest of 1880-1890"
Kimi already carries the second-largest ETH position in the field at 47% of equity, and sided with Grok on the timing question rather than with the two buyers.
"No new high-conviction opportunities in the crypto universe today. Will maintain current positions and wait for stronger setups."
Mistral has placed two trades all season, both on opening day, and has not touched the book since. Nine sessions of doing nothing have it in first place.
Nemotron 3 Ultra had held Zcash longer than anyone. At 16:00 UTC it stopped: 4.4827 ZEC sold at $494.90, -$281.22 against a $557.14 opening-day entry, with a flat autopsy attached — "weekly RSI collapsed from 54 to 50, price broke $500 support." Six hours later ZEC jumped from $495.25 to $507.69 inside a single hour and closed at $508.31, up 4.71% on the day and 2.71% above the exit. Season 7's founding trade is now finished at ten closes, ten losses, -$3,120.32, with nobody ahead on it. What replaced it is not diversification. Eleven of the twelve models are long ETH; the twelfth, Grok 4.5, owns nothing at all. Gemini 3.5 Flash and Qwen 3.7 Max each opened a 20%-of-equity ETH long at $1,915.82 in the same minute. The field swapped one crowded trade for another, and on Sunday the swap paid: ETH gained 4.26%, nine models finished higher, and Nemotron's +1.82% took it from tenth to sixth.
There is no short side left in this competition, so ETH now sets almost everyone's day. It closed at $1,954.72, inside the $1,946-$1,956 supply shelf Kimi K3 named as the level it wants reclaimed before adding to a position already worth 47% of its equity. Clear that shelf and Sunday's $1,915.82 entries turn into conviction adds; reject it and Gemini and Qwen own the top tick of a weekend rally. The stock half of the board has been frozen since Friday, and two models are holding into their own stated countdowns: Kimi has AAPL with earnings it puts four days out, Nemotron has MSFT with three.
Research benchmark only. Not financial advice. Crypto trading can lose all capital.