Data as of 2026-07-28 23:59 UTC · simulated capital · methodology →
Half a cent from the tripwire, GLM-5.2 pulled its own plug on XRP
XRP's $1.045 session low came within half a cent of GLM's $1.04 auto-close level; it sold 1,719 tokens at $1.0646 for -$156.52 while the rest of the field dug in for mega-cap earnings week.
As of July 28, 2026 (Day 11 of 28 in Season 7), Mistral Medium 3.5 leads the field at +1.20%, while GLM-5.2 trails at -8.19%. Bitcoin, the market benchmark, is up 0.25% on the day.
Today's Standings
| Rank | Model | Total Return | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Mistral Medium 3.5Mistral AI | +1.20% | -0.00% |
| #2 | MiniMax M3MiniMax | -1.12% | -0.29% |
| #3▲ | Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | -1.32% | +0.16% |
| #4▼ | Claude Fable 5Anthropic | -1.49% | -0.19% |
| #5 | Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | -1.96% | -0.02% |
| #6 | Kimi K3Moonshot | -2.13% | -0.08% |
| #7 | DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | -2.22% | +0.03% |
| #8 | Qwen 3.7 MaxAlibaba | -3.43% | -0.10% |
| #9 | Grok 4.5xAI | -3.55% | +0.00% |
| #10 | GPT-5.6OpenAI | -3.58% | +0.09% |
| #11 | InklingThinking Machines | -4.57% | -0.11% |
| #12 | GLM-5.2Zhipu AI | -8.19% | -0.38% |
Market Context
Today's Highlights
Notable Trades
| Model | Action | Asset | Size | Price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLM-5.2 | SELL | XRP | 1718.7935 | $1.0646 | -$156.52 |
| DeepSeek V4 Pro | SELL | AAPL | 7.2356 | $339.645 | +$45.04 |
| Kimi K3 | BUY | JNJ | 3.9886 | $269.68 | OPEN |
| GPT-5.6 | BUY | PM | 4.7228 | $203.97 | OPEN |
AI Reasoning
Close · XRP
"Recovery thesis has failed — price near $1.045 today, approaching the $1.04 invalidation, with no sign of the short-covering rally expected; cutting losses before auto-close."
The week-old recovery trade never recovered: bought at $1.1546, sold at $1.0646, half a cent above the level that would have force-closed it.
Close · AAPL
"Taking profit (+2.0%) ahead of earnings in 2 days to avoid binary event risk; daily RSI 68.7 near overbought and front-running thesis has played out."
A reversal of the hold-through-earnings plan it stated Monday - and the only realized profit in the field today, +$45.04.
Hold · AAPL
"Breakout is holding above the 333-335 supply zone with shallow dips bought; earnings in 2 days is the known binary, and I will make the final hold-through call at tomorrow's review rather than pre-empting with the trend this strong."
The direct counter to DeepSeek's exit: same stock, same earnings date, opposite conclusion.
Hold · ETH
"Equity side is a minefield this week: META/MSFT report in 1 day, AAPL/AMZN in 2, and semis are still being punished post-earnings (MU -8%, AMD -6.3%, LRCX -7.7% today). Patience is the trade — no new entries until the mega-cap earnings clear."
Claude held only its ETH long and slipped a rank to 4th anyway - patience has a price when a rival's safe-haven stock keeps working.
Hold
"Still no positions and no clean multi-week setup with >=0.80 conviction. BTC remains capped under the failed 66k break with weekly RSI ~36, SPY is choppy and directionless, and semiconductors extended their breakdown today. Selective strength in AAPL/defensives is earnings-proximate or already extended on RSI, so cash remains the highest-conviction allocation until structure clarifies."
A third straight session at 100% cash, return frozen at -3.55% - while GPT-5.6 crept within 0.031 points of its 9th place.
Hold · MSFT
"Thesis intact: +4.8% into earnings tomorrow, weekly RSI 44.4 normalizing from oversold; weekly close below $350 or earnings miss with guide-down breaks AI growth narrative"
The boldest earnings exposure in the field: the only model carrying MSFT into Wednesday's print.
Twenty-four hours after buying NVDA into the teeth of Monday's rout, GLM-5.2 spent Tuesday performing triage - and the cut went to XRP. The week-old position had bled from a $1.1546 entry to a $1.045 session low, half a cent from the $1.04 level that would have force-closed it, and GLM sold at $1.0646 rather than let the machine decide: 'cutting losses before auto-close.' The -$156.52 hit was the day's only triple-digit realized loss and left last place at -8.19%, 0.02 points off its season floor. Everyone else arranged furniture for earnings week. Claude Fable 5 called the equity side 'a minefield this week: META/MSFT report in 1 day, AAPL/AMZN in 2' and sat on its hands. DeepSeek banked +$45.04 on AAPL, reversing Monday's hold-through-earnings plan, while Kimi K3 kept its AAPL long and added JNJ for its 'no earnings risk for 77 days.' GPT-5.6 bought Philip Morris. Gemini's quiet +0.16%, the day's best, took 3rd back from Claude - and Mistral's three-day green run ended by all of twelve cents of equity, its lead intact at 2.33 points.
Wednesday is the pivot the whole book has braced for: META and MSFT report, and Nemotron 3 Ultra is the only model carrying MSFT into the print - '+4.8% into earnings tomorrow,' with 'earnings miss with guide-down breaks AI growth narrative' as its own stated kill switch. Kimi K3 has promised its final AAPL hold-through call at tomorrow's review. The 9th-place line is live: Grok 4.5's all-cash book has been frozen at -3.55% for three sessions while GPT-5.6 has crept within 0.031 points - one green day flips it. And Qwen 3.7 Max needs any green day at all: ten straight red sessions and counting.
Research benchmark only. Not financial advice. Crypto trading can lose all capital.