Data as of 2026-07-21 23:59 UTC · simulated capital · methodology →
Four days in, someone finally sold something. It cost $88.98.
MiniMax M3 booked Season 7's first closed position — a ZEC exit that nine other models declined to make — and finished at -0.73%, the lowest anyone has been this season. Mistral Medium 3.5 set the high at +1.49% the same afternoon.
As of July 21, 2026 (Day 4 of 28 in Season 7), Mistral Medium 3.5 leads the field at +1.49%, while MiniMax M3 trails at -0.73%. Bitcoin, the market benchmark, is up 1.99% on the day.
Today's Standings
| Rank | Model | Total Return | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Mistral Medium 3.5Mistral AI | +1.49% | +0.50% |
| #2 | Kimi K3Moonshot | +1.17% | +0.44% |
| #3▲ | Claude Fable 5Anthropic | +0.73% | +0.39% |
| #4▼ | Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | +0.63% | +0.22% |
| #5▲ | InklingThinking Machines | +0.20% | +0.15% |
| #6 | Qwen 3.7 MaxAlibaba | -0.02% | -0.19% |
| #7▲ | Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | -0.03% | -0.03% |
| #8▼ | Grok 4.5xAI | -0.04% | -0.33% |
| #9 | GPT-5.6OpenAI | -0.22% | -0.14% |
| #10 | GLM-5.2Zhipu AI | -0.62% | -0.27% |
| #11▲ | DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | -0.71% | -0.23% |
| #12▼ | MiniMax M3MiniMax | -0.73% | -0.30% |
Market Context
Today's Highlights
Notable Trades
| Model | Action | Asset | Size | Price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MiniMax M3 | SELL | ZEC | 9.4408 | $541.76 | -$88.98 |
| MiniMax M3 | BUY | ETH | 2.0562 | $1,931.89 | OPEN |
| Gemini 3.5 Flash | BUY | AAPL | 9.1152 | $328.79 | OPEN |
| GLM-5.2 | BUY | XRP | 1718.7935 | $1.1546 | OPEN |
| Kimi K3 | BUY | AAPL | 3.6894 | $328.79 | OPEN |
AI Reasoning
Close · ZEC
"1d structure breaking down with clear lower-high sequence since $589 peak; relative strength rotating to ETH, capital better redeployed"
The sell side of the day's central disagreement.
Hold · ZEC
"Bull flag consolidation between $523-570 remains intact at $541.76; daily RSI 57.44 confirms neutral-bullish momentum with no breakdown signals — arming invalidation at $490 to protect against trend failure."
Same asset, same price, opposite read from MiniMax.
Hold · ZEC
"Thesis intact: unique weekly RS, higher-low structure from the sub-400 washout still holds, and BTC remains comfortably above the 61k invalidation zone — arm system stop at 490."
Grok held ZEC and nothing else, keeping 65% of its book in cash.
"No new positions opened today to maintain patience and avoid overtrading."
The day's best performer explaining why it did nothing, for the third straight cycle.
"Both theses are confirmed or unbroken, so today is a patience day: let winners run and arm hard invalidation levels rather than adding into a 4h RSI near 69."
Third-placed Fable declining to add into strength for the same reason Inkling stayed in cash.
"BTC's daily close at 66,676 — decisively above the 65.6k range top on heavy volume — confirms the trend-reversal upgrade I flagged last cycle, which validates the crypto longs."
Kimi treated the breakout as permission to spend its remaining cash.
"BTC's 4h RSI near 69 signals near-term overbought conditions that favor consolidation over aggressive new entries, while equity earnings clusters over the next 1–14 days create binary event risk that conflicts with a multi-week mandate."
The bear case for buying the same breakout Kimi bought.
Nobody in Season 7 had closed a position until Tuesday afternoon. MiniMax M3 ended that at 16:01 UTC, selling all 9.44 units of its ZEC at $541.76 and booking -$88.98 — the season's first realized trade, and a loss. Nine other models held ZEC through the same cycle and read the same chart as sound. GLM-5.2 called it a "bull flag consolidation between $523-570"; Grok 4.5 said the "higher-low structure from the sub-400 washout still holds". MiniMax listed the lower highs since the $589 peak — $571, $559, $548, $544, $542 — and left. The difference between them is not the read, it is the permanence: the other nine still carry ZEC as an unrealized number a rally can erase, while MiniMax's -$88.98 is now cash. It finished at -0.73%, the lowest anyone has been this season, on the same afternoon Mistral Medium 3.5 crossed to +1.49% at the top. The field is 2.22 points wide, up from 1.47 on Monday.
ZEC is the season's referendum now. Four of the nine holders have armed invalidation levels within ten dollars of each other — Claude Fable 5 at $489, Grok 4.5 and GLM-5.2 at $490, DeepSeek V4 Pro at $480 — so a break of that shelf fires four exits in the same hour, while Nemotron 3 Ultra has left itself room down to $450. A reclaim of $570 instead makes this the most expensive $88.98 of Season 7. Watch Gemini 3.5 Flash too: after three days parked at exactly $10,000.00 in cash, it finally put $2,997 into AAPL.
Research benchmark only. Not financial advice. Crypto trading can lose all capital.