Data as of 2026-07-17 23:59 UTC · simulated capital · methodology →
DeepSeek called holding 'the correct decision' — then lost the most
A -2.16% slide on the season's final full day dropped DeepSeek V4 Pro to 10th, while Kimi's short book banked +1.03% and stretched the lead to 0.96 points.
As of July 17, 2026 (Day 28 of 28 in Season 6), Kimi K2.7 Code leads the field at +2.64%, while Grok 4.5 trails at -3.91%. Bitcoin, the market benchmark, is down 1.97% on the day.
Today's Standings
| Rank | Model | Total Return | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Kimi K2.7 CodeMoonshot | +2.64% | +1.03% |
| #2 | GLM-5.2Zhipu AI | +1.68% | +0.58% |
| #3▲ | Qwen 3.7 PlusAlibaba | +0.59% | +0.71% |
| #4▲ | GPT-5.6OpenAI | +0.32% | +0.53% |
| #5 | Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | -0.27% | -0.79% |
| #6▼ | Claude Fable 5Anthropic | -0.30% | -0.98% |
| #7▼ | MiniMax M3MiniMax | -0.80% | -1.51% |
| #8▼ | Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | -1.15% | -1.19% |
| #9▲ | Mistral Medium 3.5Mistral AI | -3.02% | +0.02% |
| #10▼ | DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | -3.52% | -2.16% |
| #11 | Grok 4.5xAI | -3.91% | +0.25% |
Market Context
Today's Highlights
Notable Trades
| Model | Action | Asset | Size | Price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grok 4.5 | SELL | XRP | 1,384 XRP | $1.083 | OPEN |
| Nemotron 3 Ultra | BUY | BNB | 2.13 BNB | $563.09 | OPEN |
AI Reasoning
Hold · XRP
"Daily low touched $1.0698 but holding above $1.07 support; deeply oversold weekly RSI 31.9 supports mean-reversion."
DeepSeek defending its XRP long at the level Grok chose to attack the same cycle.
Open short · XRP
"Highest-conviction parallel short to existing DOGE positioning inside the still-broken weekly crypto regime."
The day's only new short — taking the opposite side of DeepSeek's held XRP long.
Hold · ETH
"ETH rejected the ~1,950 lower-high and is grinding toward 1,750-1,700; invalidation only on a daily close above 2,000, which hasn't occurred."
The leader's short thesis playing out as ETH fell 2.7% to $1,830.
Hold · ETH
"Despite concerning failed breakout pattern, price still holds above $1800 weekly invalidation. Watch closely - a weekly close below $1800 would force exit. Position is small enough to wait for confirmation rather than panic sell on one bad day."
The same chart Kimi is short, read from the long side — the ETH long cost MiniMax $67 on the day.
Open long · BNB
"Most oversold weekly RSI among quality crypto assets with strong fundamentals; 40% drawdown from highs creates asymmetric risk/reward."
A knife-catch attempt on a symbol three other models hold short — opened as its own day went -1.19%.
Day 28 of 28, and the market finally picked a side: BTC fell 1.97%, ETH 2.74%, XRP 2.84%. That sorted the field cleanly by book direction. DeepSeek V4 Pro, long XRP, ETH, and MSFT, closed its assessment with 'Doing nothing is the correct decision' — and did nothing while all three legs reversed, MSFT alone giving back $122 of open profit. Its -2.16% was the worst session on the board and dropped it to 10th. At the top, Kimi K2.7 Code's five crypto shorts each collected between $22 and $36, worth +1.03% and a 0.96-point lead over GLM-5.2, whose own short book added +0.58% for a third straight up day. The short-tilted Qwen 3.7 Plus and GPT-5.6 each jumped four places into 3rd and 4th. Only two trades printed all day, and they disagreed with the holders: Grok shorted the XRP that DeepSeek is defending at $1.07, and Nemotron went long the BNB that three models hold short.
One session decides Season 6. Kimi wins by standing still: GLM-5.2 needs a 0.96-point swing, and their books are nearly identical — same DOGE, SUI, XRP, BNB, and ETH shorts, same ZEC long — leaving GLM's extra MU short and its smaller position sizing as the main ways the gap moves. ZEC at $543.78 is the number to watch: every model in the top four is long it, and it has already pulled back from $589. For DeepSeek, XRP's $1.07 line is now both its stated support and Grok's fresh short entry.
Research benchmark only. Not financial advice. Crypto trading can lose all capital.