Research benchmark only. Not financial advice. Crypto trading can lose all capital.
AI Trading Ethereum: 23 LLMs, 362 Trades, 4 Seasons
Ethereum has been tradeable since the arena opened, so its record runs the full length of the archive. Most competitors have held ether at some point, argued with themselves about it in their reasoning, and eventually written down why they let go.
Gemini 3 Pro holds the strongest aggregate realized result on Ethereum: $265.88 across 12 closed trades. That is one asset's record, not an overall ranking — 23 models have traded an ETH position here, over 4 seasons whose trade log survives.
- 362ETH trades on record (floor)
- 174closed with a realized result
- -$2,364.84realized, all models combined
- 10open positions in the live season
Best LLM for Trading Ethereum
The second row of the ETH table earned its place on a single closed leg; the row beneath it needed dozens of them to land in the same neighbourhood. Same column, same units, very different amounts of evidence — which is why every entry states how many legs it closed.
Gemini 3 Pro — $265.88 realized on ETH
12 closed legs of 24 trades, in Seasons 1 and 2.
Kimi K3 — $48.02 realized on ETH
1 closed leg of 1 trade, in Season 6.
Grok 4-1 Fast — $47.52 realized on ETH
20 closed legs of 37 trades, in Seasons 0 and 1.
Ranked by aggregate realized profit and loss on ETH alone, over the seasons whose trade log survives. Equal results are joint, never ordered. Open positions carry no realized figure and are excluded.
Can AI Trade Ethereum?
They already do, and an ETH position is ordinary business: opened on a stated thesis, sized as a share of equity, closed when the thesis breaks or the season ends. What varies is the justification, and that is quoted in full further down.
23 model versions have executed an ETH trade in TradeRank, and 37 versions have traded it or written about it in their decisions. The realized total across every closed leg is -$2,364.84, and that total is a floor rather than a count.
Every Model's ETH Record
One row per model version. A cell reads n/a where the answer is unknown: the trade log for those seasons did not survive. A known zero is shown as a zero instead — a row that traded and closed nothing realized nothing, which is a measurement rather than a gap.
| Model | Provider | Trades | Closed | Realized P&L | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 3 Pro | 24 | 12 | $265.88 | Seasons 1 and 2 | |
| Kimi K3 | Moonshot | 1 | 1 | $48.02 | Season 6 |
| Grok 4-1 Fast | xAI | 37 | 20 | $47.52 | Seasons 0 and 1 |
| Claude Sonnet 4.5 | Anthropic | 2 | 1 | $12.19 | Season 1 |
| Nemotron 3 Ultra | NVIDIA | 4 | 2 | $7.13 | Season 6 |
| Claude Opus 4.8 | Anthropic | 2 | 0 | $0.00 | Season 6 |
| Grok 4.1 Fast | xAI | 0 | 0 | $0.00 | — |
| GLM-5.2 | Zhipu AI | 4 | 2 | -$23.13 | Season 6 |
| GPT-5.5 | OpenAI | 2 | 1 | -$24.01 | Season 6 |
| Qwen 3.7 Plus | Alibaba | 2 | 1 | -$35.70 | Season 6 |
| Claude Haiku 4.5 | Anthropic | 56 | 26 | -$70.28 | Seasons 0 and 1 |
| Gemini 3.5 Flash | 2 | 1 | -$72.97 | Season 6 | |
| Kimi K2.7 Code | Moonshot | 3 | 1 | -$74.94 | Season 6 |
| Claude Fable 5 | Anthropic | 3 | 2 | -$78.07 | Season 6 |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | 20 | 10 | -$80.60 | Seasons 0 and 1 | |
| DeepSeek V4 Pro | DeepSeek | 6 | 2 | -$83.13 | Season 6 |
| Grok 4.3 | xAI | 2 | 1 | -$126.74 | Season 6 |
| o4-mini | OpenAI | 20 | 10 | -$126.90 | Season 1 |
| Mistral Medium 3.5 | Mistral AI | 2 | 1 | -$144.73 | Season 6 |
| MiniMax M3 | MiniMax | 4 | 2 | -$158.49 | Season 6 |
| Qwen3 | Alibaba | 47 | 24 | -$215.63 | Season 1 |
| GPT-5 Mini | OpenAI | 45 | 18 | -$247.53 | Seasons 0 and 1 |
| Kimi K2 | Moonshot | 30 | 15 | -$581.34 | Season 1 |
| DeepSeek R1 | DeepSeek | 44 | 21 | -$601.39 | Season 1 |
| Claude Opus 4.6 | Anthropic | n/a | n/a | n/a | Season 3 |
| Claude Opus 4.7 | Anthropic | n/a | n/a | n/a | Seasons 4 and 5 |
| DeepSeek V3.2 | DeepSeek | n/a | n/a | n/a | Season 3 |
| Gemini 3.1 Pro | n/a | n/a | n/a | Seasons 3 and 4 | |
| GLM-5.1 | Zhipu AI | n/a | n/a | n/a | Seasons 4 and 5 |
| Grok 4.20 | xAI | n/a | n/a | n/a | Season 3 |
| Grok 4.20 MA | xAI | n/a | n/a | n/a | Season 4 |
| Kimi K2.5 | Moonshot | n/a | n/a | n/a | Season 3 |
| Kimi K2.6 | Moonshot | n/a | n/a | n/a | Seasons 4 and 5 |
| MiniMax M2.5 | MiniMax | n/a | n/a | n/a | Season 3 |
| MiniMax M2.7 | MiniMax | n/a | n/a | n/a | Season 4 |
| Qwen 3.5 Plus | Alibaba | n/a | n/a | n/a | Season 3 |
| Qwen 3.6 Plus | Alibaba | n/a | n/a | n/a | Seasons 4 and 5 |
Ethereum AI Trading Performance by Season
Ethereum concentrates almost all of its executed volume in one early season and then thins out sharply. The middle of the archive kept models writing about ether every cycle without leaving a single recoverable fill behind.
Trade counts are not comparable across the whole column: the early seasons ran several decision cycles a day and the later ones settle everything at one fixed hour, so the Cycle column states which regime each row belongs to.
| Season | Cycle | Trades | Closed | Realized P&L | Models trading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season 0 | intraday | 28 | 15 | $95.27 | 4 |
| Season 1 | intraday | 295 | 141 | -$1,687.72 | 10 |
| Season 2 | intraday | 2 | 1 | -$5.63 | 1 |
| Season 3 | once daily | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Season 4 | once daily | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Season 5 | once daily | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Season 6 | once daily | 37 | 17 | -$766.76 | 13 |
A cell reads n/a where the answer is unknown: the trade log for those seasons did not survive. A known zero is shown as a zero instead — a row that traded and closed nothing realized nothing, which is a measurement rather than a gap.
Who Holds ETH Right Now
The season now running, as of 2026-08-06. Every table above this block is frozen archive; this block and the fourth figure in the hero are the only parts that move.
| Model | Side | Entry | Last price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Fable 5 | long | $1,864.50 | $1,906.45 |
| DeepSeek V4 Pro | long | $1,943.03 | $1,906.45 |
| GLM-5.2 | long | $1,903.30 | $1,906.45 |
| GPT-5.6 | long | $1,931.89 | $1,906.45 |
| Inkling | long | $1,868.34 | $1,906.45 |
| Kimi K3 | long | $1,854.07 | $1,906.45 |
| MiniMax M3 | long | $1,858.83 | $1,906.45 |
| Mistral Medium 3.5 | long | $1,846.41 | $1,906.45 |
| Nemotron 3 Ultra | long | $1,872.65 | $1,906.45 |
| Qwen 3.7 Max | long | $1,915.82 | $1,906.45 |
Season so far: 20 trades, 2 closed legs, realized -$272.04. The live leaderboard carries the current standings.
Thesis on track — today's high-volume break above the 1,822-1,920 consolidation targets the 1,950 retest; raising the stop from 1,745 to 1,800 (below the 1,803/1,822/1,828 higher-low cluster) because a 57%-of-equity…
ETH still above 1900 with weekly RSI 35.7 oversold; daily close below 1800 required to invalidate the recovery thesis.
Thesis intact: weekly basing pattern with 1w RSI 35 (deeply oversold), 1d RSI reset to 56 after pullback to 1,855, 1,850-1,870 acting as new floor. Position up +2.8% with target 2,000-2,100; arming 1,750 invalidation to…
The Best and Worst ETH Calls
Selected deterministically from the trade log: the strongest and weakest closed ETH legs that carry a written rationale, whichever model made them. A larger leg with no reasoning attached to it is not shown here, because the section exists to publish the reasoning.
Largest quoted ETH leg: $488.35, Gemini 3 Pro
RSI is 19.3 (extremely oversold). Price found massive support at $2250. Locking in ~20% profit to protect weekly equity and flip long for the bounce.
Weakest quoted ETH leg: -$144.73, Mistral Medium 3.5
ETH short under significant pressure (-5.7% PnL) with weekly bearish score only 15/100. Trend alignment weak despite daily being neutral. Cut losses to preserve capital.
What the Models Said About Ethereum
Every quote below is a model's own reasoning for an ETH decision, unedited apart from length. Selection is deterministic and recorded in the pack.
ETH short under significant pressure (-5.7% PnL) with weekly bearish score only 15/100. Trend alignment weak despite daily being neutral. Cut losses to preserve capital.
Daily EMA-26 shows 0 direction; position at -8% loss with weak overall score (15)
Daily trend reversed — price reclaimed the daily EMA-26 (1d score now neutral) and broke above the two-week range on strong volume. Composite fell to 15/100, the weakest of all holdings. Cutting the -4.8% loss before…
ETH daily EMA-26 is now neutral (0 weight), breaking the required daily agreement for short entries. Price moved against us by 4%. Close to preserve capital.
Daily EMA-26 score is 0 (no bearish agreement), composite 15 is far below the 50 threshold, making the short invalid; closing limits further loss.
Daily trend has flipped to bullish and held, violating the weekly/daily bearish alignment necessary to sustain the short.
Daily trend reversed bullish for 2+ candles (1700→1731). Weekly/daily now disagree. Exit rule triggered—cut the -4.3% loss.
Daily trend reversed bullish (▲25) against short position while weekly remains bearish; held for multiple daily candles — exit rule triggered
Daily trend has reversed to bullish (1d:▲) while weekly remains bearish (1w:▼). Recent daily closes (1700.57, 1731.24) held above daily EMA-26 for 2+ candles, triggering exit rule. Strategy mandates staying flat when…
Daily trend reversing up for 2+ candles against the short; composite score < 50 mandates staying flat.
ETH weekly remains bearish, but the daily trend is now neutral and 4h momentum is bullish with elevated short-term RSI, so the short no longer has clean weekly/daily downside alignment.
Cleanest bearish alignment — weekly/daily/4h all below EMA-26, weekly RSI 26 with no reversal signal. Adding to the strongest trend-following short while funding stays negative.
Weekly and daily trends remain bearish per EMA-26; 4h bounce has not triggered a trend reversal exit
Trend score 40 (neutral) but weekly and daily still bearish; no reversal signal yet.
Weekly and daily trends remain strongly bearish (score 40), with price holding below EMA-26 and no reversal structure forming on higher timeframes.
Deep profit at +15.7%, weekly trend firmly bearish. Daily RSI 42 and recent bounce is only 1 strong bullish candle—no 2-day reversal confirmation yet.
4h has bounced, but weekly and daily remain bearish; exit rules are not triggered while higher-timeframe trend still supports the short.
ETH remains in a clear bearish structure below key moving averages; holding current short.
Weekly (▼30) and daily (▼25) EMAs confirm bearish trend. RSI(1d)=42.1 neutral. Composite=40 BEARISH. No reversal signal—continue holding short.
Short up 17.3% with weekly and daily trends firmly bearish. No reversal signal. Deeply oversold RSI may cause bounces but trend remains intact.
Weekly and daily EMAs remain firmly bearish with a 70/100 composite score. No reversal signals detected; holding short to capture further downside momentum.
Weekly and daily remain bearish with composite 70; trend intact, letting winner run.
Daily reversal confirmed — massive bullish engulfing candle (+7%), 4h flipped bullish, 1h RSI 90. Bank +10.6% profit before further giveback.
Short aligned with weekly/daily trend; unrealized gain intact, no reversal signal.
What This Page Does and Does Not Measure
- Trade records cover Seasons 0, 1, 2 and 6. Seasons 3, 4 and 5 ran Ethereum but their trade logs are unrecoverable, so those rows read n/a.
- Season 1 survives only as a partial log, so every all-time total on this page is a floor rather than a count.
- Decision reasoning covers Seasons 1, 3, 4, 5 and 6, which is why a model can be quoted in a season with no trades beside it.
- 29.3% of the 174 closed ETH legs finished positive. This is a closed-trade rate on this asset only. It is not the standings win rate, which counts open positions too, and the two are not comparable in either direction.
- Everything here is paper trading. Each model starts from the same simulated balance, pays a fee on every fill, and risks no capital. How the competition works.
Ethereum AI Trading — FAQ
What is the best LLM for trading Ethereum?
Gemini 3 Pro holds the strongest aggregate realized result on ETH: $265.88 across 12 closed trades. That is one asset's record, not an overall ranking, and it covers only the seasons whose trade log survives.
Can AI trade Ethereum?
They already do. 23 models have executed 362 ETH trades in TradeRank, 174 of them closed with a realized result.
How many AI models have traded ETH?
23 model versions have executed an ETH trade. A wider set — 37 versions — traded it or wrote about it in their decisions, including seasons whose trade log did not survive.
Did the models make or lose money on Ethereum?
Across the closed ETH trades on record the realized total is -$2,364.84. Season 1 survives only as a partial log, so that is a floor. Open positions carry no realized figure and are not in that total.
Which seasons does this Ethereum record cover?
Trades: Seasons 0, 1, 2 and 6. Seasons 3, 4 and 5 ran the asset but their trade logs are unrecoverable, so those rows read n/a rather than zero.
Are the Ethereum results on this page live trades?
No. TradeRank is a paper-trading benchmark: each model starts from the same simulated balance, pays fees on every fill, and risks no capital.