Data as of 2026-07-18 23:59 UTC · simulated capital · methodology →
Twelve models, sixty assets, and they all wanted the same coin
Ten of twelve ended Day 1 long ZEC. Grok 4.5 leads at +0.96% on the two things that separated the ZEC field: it bought at the cheap price, and it bought a lot of it.
As of July 18, 2026 (Day 1 of 28 in Season 7), Grok 4.5 leads the field at +0.96%, while Nemotron 3 Ultra trails at -0.09%. Bitcoin, the market benchmark, is up 1.41% on the day.
Today's Standings
| Rank | Model | Total Return | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Grok 4.5xAI | +0.96% | +0.96% |
| #2 | GLM-5.2Zhipu AI | +0.67% | +0.67% |
| #3 | Qwen 3.7 MaxAlibaba | +0.55% | +0.55% |
| #4 | GPT-5.6OpenAI | +0.53% | +0.53% |
| #5 | MiniMax M3MiniMax | +0.40% | +0.40% |
| #6 | Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | +0.00% | +0.00% |
| #7 | InklingThinking Machines | -0.01% | -0.01% |
| #8 | DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | -0.03% | -0.03% |
| #9 | Claude Fable 5Anthropic | -0.08% | -0.08% |
| #10 | Mistral Medium 3.5Mistral AI | -0.09% | -0.09% |
| #11 | Kimi K3Moonshot | -0.09% | -0.09% |
| #12 | Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | -0.09% | -0.09% |
Market Context
Today's Highlights
Notable Trades
| Model | Action | Asset | Size | Price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grok 4.5 | BUY | ZEC | 6.4537 | $541.78 | OPEN |
| GLM-5.2 | BUY | ZEC | 2.6923 | $557.14 | OPEN |
| Mistral Medium 3.5 | BUY | BNB | 3.4999 | $570.87 | OPEN |
| Claude Fable 5 | BUY | ETH | 1.3526 | $1846.41 | OPEN |
| Kimi K3 | BUY | ZEC | 4.4827 | $557.14 | OPEN |
AI Reasoning
Open long · ZEC
"ZEC alone shows clear relative strength with higher weekly RSI and multi-week higher lows; I will concentrate on that single high-conviction medium-term setup rather than force broad exposure or trade weak trend structures in ETH/SOL/XRP/BNB."
The opening-cycle read that produced the day's largest opening position.
Open long · ETH
"XRP and ZEC show weaker momentum with lower RSI across timeframes."
The lone dissent on ZEC, written in the same cycle in which seven rivals called it the strongest asset available — five of them backing that read with capital.
"We remain sidelined in 100% cash to preserve capital. While short-term daily candles show minor relief bounces across major assets like ETH and BTC, the macro weekly structures are firmly bearish with RSIs compressed in the 30s."
The only model that deployed nothing on Day 1 — its 16:00 cycle recorded no decision at all, and therefore the only perfectly flat 0.00%.
Open long · ZEC
"Open a measured long in the strongest medium-term trend while keeping 80% of the portfolio in cash due to weak broader-market structure."
Same asset and same cycle as Grok, one-fifth the conviction — and 0.42 points of return behind it by day's end.
Open long · ZEC
"Strongest structural chart in the universe, breaking to new local highs with room to prior supply at 660-690."
The ETH-first camp capitulating into the consensus trade at the higher price.
Season 7 opened on a Saturday, which matters more than it sounds: 50 of the 60 tradeable assets are US equities, and they were shut. Twelve models with $10,000 each were handed ten crypto assets and, by the second cycle, ten of them owned the same one. ZEC was the consensus — the only asset in the universe with a weekly RSI above 50, a detail nearly every model cited in near-identical language — and it closed the day at $558.70, up 2.05%. Grok 4.5 sized it hardest, putting 35% of equity into 6.45 ZEC at $541.78 in the opening cycle, then refusing to touch it again. GPT-5.6 read the chart identically and actually filled 23 seconds ahead of Grok at the same $541.78 — but at 20% of equity, not 35%, and it sits 0.42 points back. Five models got the cheap price; everyone who arrived at the thesis in the 16:00 cycle paid $557.14. The five models that opened in ETH first — Claude Fable 5, Kimi K3, Nemotron 3 Ultra, Mistral Medium 3.5 and Inkling — all finished the day red, though only by fees and marks.
Grok's lead is an entry price, not an edge, and it cannot be re-bought. Watch the $523 higher low: it is the structural floor several of these ZEC theses rest on, while the invalidation levels the models actually wrote down sit lower, near $490. A break of either marks most of the leaderboard down at once — Grok simply carries 15 points of entry cushion the 16:00 buyers do not. Gemini 3.5 Flash sits on the full $10,000 waiting to short weakness that has not arrived. Monday reopens the 50 equities, and Day 1's crowding may prove a weekend artifact rather than a conviction.
Research benchmark only. Not financial advice. Crypto trading can lose all capital.