{ "schemaVersion": "provider-pair-v1", "snapshotThrough": "2026-06-20T16:02:23.195Z", "slug": "gemini-vs-deepseek-for-trading", "status": "eligible", "holdReason": null, "primaryQuery": "Gemini vs DeepSeek for trading", "aliases": [ "deepseek-vs-gemini-for-trading" ], "families": [ { "key": "google", "family": "Gemini", "provider": "Google", "routeSlot": "gemini-3-1-pro", "versionsBySeason": [ { "seasonSlug": "season-3", "seasonNumber": 3, "modelId": "gemini-3-1-pro", "modelName": "Gemini 3.1 Pro", "versionExcluded": false, "versionExclusionReason": null }, { "seasonSlug": "season-4", "seasonNumber": 4, "modelId": "gemini-3-1-pro", "modelName": "Gemini 3.1 Pro", "versionExcluded": false, "versionExclusionReason": null }, { "seasonSlug": "season-5", "seasonNumber": 5, "modelId": "gemini-3-1-pro", "modelName": "Gemini 3.5 Flash", "versionExcluded": false, "versionExclusionReason": null } ] }, { "key": "deepseek", "family": "DeepSeek", "provider": "DeepSeek", "routeSlot": "deepseek-v3-2", 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9.761975779245795 } ], "directionMix": [ { "seasonSlug": "season-3", "familyAValue": 0.09523809523809523, "familyBValue": 0.07142857142857142 }, { "seasonSlug": "season-4", "familyAValue": 0.08333333333333333, "familyBValue": 0.2 }, { "seasonSlug": "season-5", "familyAValue": 0.0625, "familyBValue": 0.23076923076923078 } ] }, "representativeDecisions": [ { "family": "A", "familyKey": "google", "seasonSlug": "season-3", "cycleTimestamp": "2026-03-23T16:01:59.375Z", "action": "open_short", "asset": "BNB", "reasoning": "Solid 70/100 bearish confirmation perfectly aligned across 1w, 1d, and 4h timeframes, paired with a positive funding rate for shorts.", "outcome": "gain", "outcomeBasis": "Position state change between consecutive daily equity snapshots — not a trade fill.", "unrealizedPnlAtOpen": 0, "unrealizedPnlNextCycle": 15.498155937097636, "selectionRule": "First attributable gain and first attributable loss per family, ordered by (season number, cycle timestamp, asset, action); when neither is attributable, the first decision in that order is used and its reconstructed outcome (flat or unattributable) is recorded as-is.", "reconstructed": true, "sourceFile": "data/competitions/season-3/decision-history/gemini-3-1-pro.json" }, { "family": "A", "familyKey": "google", "seasonSlug": "season-3", "cycleTimestamp": "2026-03-23T16:01:59.375Z", "action": "open_short", "asset": "ARB", "reasoning": "Cascading timeframe alignment with a 70/100 bearish score. Its daily RSI denotes a controlled pullback in an overarching confirmed downtrend.", "outcome": "loss", "outcomeBasis": "Position state change between consecutive daily equity snapshots — not a trade fill.", "unrealizedPnlAtOpen": 0, "unrealizedPnlNextCycle": -30.09672304439755, "selectionRule": "First attributable gain and first attributable loss per family, ordered by (season number, cycle timestamp, asset, action); when neither is attributable, the first decision in that order is used and its reconstructed outcome (flat or unattributable) is recorded as-is.", "reconstructed": true, "sourceFile": "data/competitions/season-3/decision-history/gemini-3-1-pro.json" }, { "family": "B", "familyKey": "deepseek", "seasonSlug": "season-3", "cycleTimestamp": "2026-03-23T16:05:16.869Z", "action": "open_short", "asset": "ADA", "reasoning": "Weekly ▼, Daily ▼, 4h ▼, composite 70. Bearish momentum. Positive funding.", "outcome": "gain", "outcomeBasis": "Position state change between consecutive daily equity snapshots — not a trade fill.", "unrealizedPnlAtOpen": 0, "unrealizedPnlNextCycle": 2.8673938002295927, "selectionRule": "First attributable gain and first attributable loss per family, ordered by (season number, cycle timestamp, asset, action); when neither is attributable, the first decision in that order is used and its reconstructed outcome (flat or unattributable) is recorded as-is.", "reconstructed": true, "sourceFile": "data/competitions/season-3/decision-history/deepseek-v3-2.json" }, { "family": "B", "familyKey": "deepseek", "seasonSlug": "season-3", "cycleTimestamp": "2026-03-23T16:05:16.869Z", "action": "open_short", "asset": "UNI", "reasoning": "Weekly ▼, Daily ▼, 4h ▼, composite 70. Downtrend intact. Positive funding.", "outcome": "loss", "outcomeBasis": "Position state change between consecutive daily equity snapshots — not a trade fill.", "unrealizedPnlAtOpen": 0, "unrealizedPnlNextCycle": -14.845032550240603, "selectionRule": "First attributable gain and first attributable loss per family, ordered by (season number, cycle timestamp, asset, action); when neither is attributable, the first decision in that order is used and its reconstructed outcome (flat or unattributable) is recorded as-is.", "reconstructed": true, "sourceFile": "data/competitions/season-3/decision-history/deepseek-v3-2.json" } ], "reasoningExcerpts": [ { "family": "A", "familyKey": "google", "seasonSlug": "season-3", "cycleTimestamp": "2026-03-23T16:01:59.375Z", "asset": "BNB", "action": "open_short", "quote": "Solid 70/100 bearish confirmation perfectly aligned across 1w, 1d, and 4h timeframes, paired with a positive funding rate for shorts.", "sourceFile": "data/competitions/season-3/decision-history/gemini-3-1-pro.json" }, { "family": "A", "familyKey": "google", "seasonSlug": "season-3", "cycleTimestamp": "2026-03-23T16:01:59.375Z", "asset": "ARB", "action": "open_short", "quote": "Cascading timeframe alignment with a 70/100 bearish score. Its daily RSI denotes a controlled pullback in an overarching confirmed downtrend.", "sourceFile": "data/competitions/season-3/decision-history/gemini-3-1-pro.json" }, { "family": "B", "familyKey": "deepseek", "seasonSlug": "season-3", "cycleTimestamp": "2026-03-23T16:05:16.869Z", "asset": "ADA", "action": "open_short", "quote": "Weekly ▼, Daily ▼, 4h ▼, composite 70. Bearish momentum. Positive funding.", "sourceFile": "data/competitions/season-3/decision-history/deepseek-v3-2.json" }, { "family": "B", "familyKey": "deepseek", "seasonSlug": "season-3", "cycleTimestamp": "2026-03-23T16:05:16.869Z", "asset": "UNI", "action": "open_short", "quote": "Weekly ▼, Daily ▼, 4h ▼, composite 70. Downtrend intact. Positive funding.", "sourceFile": "data/competitions/season-3/decision-history/deepseek-v3-2.json" } ], "methodology": [ { "seasonSlug": "season-3", "seasonNumber": 3, "startDate": "2026-03-23", "endDate": "2026-04-26", "startingCapital": 10000, "feePercent": 0.1, "cadenceLabel": "daily (24h cycle)", "assetUniverse": [ "ETH", "BNB", "SOL", "XRP", "DOGE", "ADA", "AVAX", "LINK", "DOT", "MATIC", "UNI", "ATOM", "LTC", "ETC", "FIL", "APT", "ARB", "OP", "NEAR", "SUI", "AAVE", "PENGU", "HYPE", "PURR", "CRV", "SNX", "COMP", "SUSHI", "IMX", "STX", "INJ", "TIA", "SEI", "MANTA", "BLUR", "PENDLE", "ZORA" ], "assetUniverseLabel": "37 crypto assets", "shortSellingAllowed": true, "leverageAllowed": false, "stopLossRequired": true, "maxPositions": 10, "finalizationBasis": "retained-open-exposure", "eraNotes": [] }, { "seasonSlug": "season-4", "seasonNumber": 4, "startDate": "2026-04-26", "endDate": "2026-05-23", "startingCapital": 10000, "feePercent": 0.1, "cadenceLabel": "daily (24h cycle)", "assetUniverse": [ "ETH", "SOL", "XRP", "DOGE", "ZEC", "BNB", "TAO" ], "assetUniverseLabel": "7 crypto assets", "shortSellingAllowed": true, "leverageAllowed": false, "stopLossRequired": true, "maxPositions": 10, "finalizationBasis": "retained-open-exposure", "eraNotes": [] }, { "seasonSlug": "season-5", "seasonNumber": 5, "startDate": "2026-05-23", "endDate": "2026-06-20", "startingCapital": 10000, "feePercent": 0.1, "cadenceLabel": "daily (24h cycle)", "assetUniverse": [ "ETH", "SOL", "XRP", "DOGE", "ZEC", "BNB", "TON", "SUI", "TRX", "PEPE" ], "assetUniverseLabel": "10 crypto assets", "shortSellingAllowed": true, "leverageAllowed": false, "stopLossRequired": true, "maxPositions": 10, "finalizationBasis": "retained-open-exposure", "eraNotes": [] } ], "limitations": [ "returnPct includes unrealized P&L; realized and unrealized are reported separately per season (a season winner has previously carried negative realized P&L while leading on unrealized gains).", "Win rate is taken from report standings, which count still-open positions as trades; it is not a realized closed-trade win rate and should be read alongside the realized/unrealized split.", "Representative-decision outcomes are position state change between consecutive daily equity snapshots — not a trade fill. Same-cycle round-trips are irreducible and season-end opens are mark-to-market only.", "Cross-season comparison only: prompts, model versions, cadence, asset universe and market regimes changed between seasons — these are not one controlled experiment.", "Capital was simulated, prices were live, modeled fees applied; execution omitted slippage, market impact, borrow costs and real capital risk.", "Samples are short (3 shared completed seasons); behavior is described with sample size, never as a permanent trait of Gemini or DeepSeek.", "Hold-time is not reported: no hold-time field exists in standings and the \"0.0 hours\" text in report prose is a placeholder, not a measurement. 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